If you are a student of anti-Obama hysteria, you might remember that among the many variations on the BUT WHAT DO WE REALLY KNOW ABOUT HIM??? theme was this: all the elements of his sinister past at Columbia University (Connections to Ayres! Birth of his radicalism!) that were SUPPRESSED which THE MSM WON'T REPORT ON.
If you are such a student, you're probably also familiar with the now-fading echoes of a battle cry that was turned up to 11 after Rathergate -- how the MSM was about to be steamrollered by these hard-working investigative citizen-journalists of the Right.
To those ends, SEK over at The Edge of the American West offers up a couple dozens eggs, all of which certain prominent right-pundits will soon be wiping off their faces.
Killer ending. And a great missile defense cartoon, too.
And speaking of coincidences, I just read a second piece with the same title: "Ship of Fools."
This one describes last year's wingnut wankfest, aka the National Review cruise, and it is alternately horrifying and wonderful.
Link via teh Sadlys, who have kicked off their coverage of this year's cruise, which appears to have finished just recently. Their title? "Jonah Ark." Also awesome.
[Added] I hadn't heard of Johann Hari, the author of the "Ship of Fools" piece, so I Googled him. Here's the last paragraph from his own site's About page:
Since he began work as a journalist, Johann has been attacked in print by the National Review, the Daily Telegraph, the Daily Mail, John Pilger, Daniel Craig, Peter Oborne, Private Eye, the Socialist Worker, Cristina Odone, Jon Gaunt, the Spectator, Andrew Neil, Mark Steyn, the British National Party, Medialens, al Muhajaroun and Richard Littlejohn. 'Prince' Turki Al-Faisal, the Saudi Ambassador to Britain, has accused Johann of "waging a private jihad against the House of Saud". (He's right). Johann has been called 'Maoist' by Nick Cohen, "Stalinist" by Noam Chomsky, 'Horrible Hari' by Niall Ferguson, "an uppity little queer" by Bruce Anderson, 'a drug addict' by George Galloway, "fat" by the Dalai Lama and "a cunt" by Busted.
To which can only add that this little pissant has no business accomplishing so much more than I have, especially at his unadvanced age. See his latest column for another example. And the one before that. And the one before that.
NPR has the first of a five-part series on the current state of the U.S. missile defense system. At this moment, only the text is available; audio should be up about six hours after this posting.
This first part, anyway, doesn't offer much of assessment one way or the other about whether this boondoggle has moved out of the boondoggle stage. It's kind of a "supporters say/critics say" piece. However, it is just part one, so this post is mostly a note-to-self. Remind me if I don't post links to the next segments, please.
Some of my previous thoughts on this topic here, here, and here, if you're interested.
The claim is, the missile hit the satellite. But we won't know for 24 hours whether the hit was effective.
Many have been speculating that this shootdown of a satellite in a decaying orbit was motivated by eagerness to play with Star Wars toys, something that I am ever more convinced is at least part of the thinking that went into this. And the fact that no one knows after firing the missile whether it did any good only adds to my deepskepticism about the worthiness of this boondoggle of a program.
Before it fired at the satellite Wednesday night, the military was hesitating about making a shot, citing the possibility of “choppy seas.” Cynics who asked whether this means the nation’s quadrillion-dollar missile defense system only works when the weather is calm were told to stop being ridiculous.
A few months ago, I wrote a long post, excerpting heavily from Jack Hitt, about the idiocy that is this nation's missile defense program. Would that I could be as succinct as Matt Yglesias. Here's his entire post, reacting to another article:
Obviously, a lot of neocon types are down in the dumps about the NIE on Iran. Not to worry, though, AEI's Charlie Szrom, writing for The Weekly Standard and citing the time-honored conservative precept that "everything strengthens the case for missile defense boondoggles" explains that the report strengthens the case for missile defense boondoggles. And, indeed, all indications are that the system would work better against non-existent Iranian nuclear missiles than against the real kind, so in that sense Szrom makes a strong case.
There's a long piece in last month's Rolling Stone on the U.S. missile defense program. It's written by Jack Hitt, and I highly recommended it.
If you are on the fence about this program, the piece should prove instructive. If you're against it, you might like the details. If you're for it, I challenge you to read the entire article, and then say that again.
Pardon the long post. I just couldn't resist any of these excerpts.
Perhaps you'd like some background music to get you into the appropriately surreal mood while reading:
Let's start with a taste of the boondogglery:
Then, after Osama bin Laden blew a hole in the Pentagon in 2001, Donald Rumsfeld plowed even more money into missile defense -- even though the system was designed to counter large, trackable strikes by an enemy nation rather than small, asymmetrical threats from isolated terrorists. Indeed, the shield's hasty progress from drawing board to hardware resembles nothing so much as the Iraq War: engineered by neoconservatives, founded on blurry threat assessments, approved over the complaints of enfeebled Democrats, its mission periodically adjusted to accommodate the prevailing political winds.
Today, thanks to Rumsfeld's devotion to the shield, missile defense is the single most-expensive weapons system in the American arsenal. The Bush administration has nearly tripled Clinton's average missile defense budget, to $11-billion a year -- a sum almost four times larger than the U.S. government's total spending on energy research. By 2013, the Congressional Budget Office estimates, missile defense will be costing us nearly $19-billion a year -- roughly half the current budget for the entire Department of Homeland Security.
Missile defense exists in a world of its own. It has a special budget process that exempts it from most congressional oversight, and it is pioneering a new acquisitions process that redefines the very nature of what constitutes a "threat." The system has a separate definition to denote what it means for a weapon to "work" and even what it means to "know" something to be true. The shield operates beyond the world of empirical testing, and outside the four service branches of the U.S. military.
Oh, and by the way? All this money, and even a brochure put out by the program itself admits there's no chance it would work against an all-out missile attack launched, say, by Russia or China. Currently, it's being pitched as defense against North Korea and Iran. Take it away, Jack.
But the State Department recently reached a diplomatic agreement with North Korea that would eliminate its nuclear weapons program, and Iran is years away from developing nuclear capabilities. So whose warheads will the shield protect us from? In August, during a lecture at a missile defense convention, one proponent of the system suggested the possibility of a new ballistic threat from a country that currently possesses no missiles: Venezuela.
Venezuela?
Does it get more inane? You bet. See page 6 for how the program might be expanded to defend against aliens from outer space. See page 7 for the new style of evaluating whether this will ever work: faith-based testing. I am not making this up.
Okay, so "faith-based" is Hitt's term. Rumsfeld's term of art was "capability-based." But they both would agree, unlike the testing done for every other piece of procured military hardware, it's specifically not "knowledge-based." Who knew Rummy hated "Old Pentagon" as much as "Old Europe?"
More numbers: Hitt quotes Joseph Cirincione, a national security expert at the Center for American Progress:
The Manhattan Project cost about $22-billion in today's dollars -- and we got a bomb. So far, missile defense has cost more than $100-billion …
And there's this:
In 2003, the American Physical Society convened a study group of top scientists from MIT, Cornell, Stanford, Sandia Labs and Los Alamos … Their conclusion: "With the technology we judge could become available within the next fifteen years, defending against a single ICBM would require a thousand or more interceptors." Currently, we have twenty-two.
How about a little more faith-based thinking? Glad you asked. One key component of the system is called the SBX. This is a radar unit that is supposed to detect the incoming missile (note singular). It's mounted on a ship, about which an SBX engineer says:
It is built to commercial standards, for better or worse, and those are just different from what the Navy does. They intend their hulls to get shot at, and we are really hoping that doesn't happen to us.
My bad. It's not faith-based. It's hope-based.
As to how this program got so out of control, tell me if any of this sounds familiar:
To understand what happened, it is necessary to dial back the clock to 1994, when Newt Gingrich and the new Republican majority took over Congress. To make the case that America faced new threats in the post-Cold War world -- and thus needed to maintain a big defense budget -- Congress ordered America's intelligence agencies to assess the new dangers. The resulting National Intelligence Estimate was issued in 1995.
The problem began when the NIE arrived. The report concluded that there weren't any immediate threats: "The Intelligence Community judges that in the next fifteen years, no country other than the major declared nuclear powers will develop a ballistic missile that could threaten the contiguous forty-eight states or Canada."
Republicans immediately attacked this report. "Extraordinarily sloppy work," declared Sen. John Kyl of Arizona. Missile boosters mandated that a congressional commission be assembled to study this obviously flawed assessment. To ensure they got the answer they wanted, they stacked the commission with Republicans and put Robert Gates, a former CIA director, in charge. Yet Gates and his team concluded that not only was the NIE correct but that things were even less dire than stated.
Enraged, Congress mandated yet another commission. This time, the chairman was none other than Donald Rumsfeld. Working alongside Paul Wolfowitz, the future secretary of defense finally came up with the result that Republicans were looking for. The Rumsfeld Commission established a new standard of threat, asserting that any country with Scud technology would be able to easily convert to ICBM capability. Most important, they determined that the earlier intelligence efforts were flawed because they looked only at "likely" threats instead of "possible" threats -- such as North Korea and Iran and Venezuela.
I'd be sort of terrified about the inability of the Star Wars people to even run sump pumps, if I weren't convinced that flooding those silos might in fact be the best long-term strategy.
Still, just when North Korea is prepping for an advanced missile launch, you have to at least cringe at stories like this.
If you are a student of anti-Obama hysteria, you might remember that among the many variations on the BUT WHAT DO WE REALLY KNOW ABOUT HIM??? theme was this: all the elements of his sinister past at Columbia University (Connections to Ayres! Birth of his radicalism!) that were SUPPRESSED which THE MSM WON'T REPORT ON.
