Saturday, September 27, 2008

Early Numbers

Via email from Twin: Nate Silver points to MediaCurves. Notice the overwhelming win by Obama among independents. No idea about the sample, but if this group is representative of the nation's independents, I'm doing the happy dance right now.

Also, Isaac Chotiner at The Plank says:

Focus Groups, Undecideds For Obama

For what it's worth: The Frank Luntz and Stanley Greenberg focus groups went overwhelmingly for Obama. And a CBS poll of undecideds went for Obama 40%-22%.

Update: The CNN polls goes to Barack, 51%-38%.

[Added] TPM has some more early numbers, from a "CNN poll, conducted among debate-watchers," (probably the same one Chotiner mentioned) which is too ambiguous to be sure about -- people who voted online? A focus group? A proper random sample? That said, the story matches the above: they scored it a big W for Obama.

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